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Fall in 2009 wind energy orders will affect 2010 revenues - Frost & Sullivan

The fall in orders for wind energy in 2009 will affect revenues in 2010, analyst Frost & Sullivan predicts.

Due to the strong growth and placement of wind turbine orders in 2008 and the lead time between placing the orders and shipping them out to customers, the top line for wind turbine manufacturers in 2009 has been relatively unaffected. However, the fall in orders in 2009 will affect revenues of these companies in 2010.

It is therefore essential for wind energy companies to adopt new strategies to keep their margins intact. And some wind companies have already started taking extraordinary and urgent measures to sustain and accelerate growth in a tough environment.

Frost & Sullivan, the Growth Partnership Company, in addition to the in-house expertise and the regular tracking of the wind energy market, has analysed the results of the quarterly statements and presentations of leading wind energy players and has presented the following observations and conclusions.

“Certainly the consequence of the recent slowdown of activity has been a fall in lead times and order backlogs, prices of turbines, freight costs and raw-materials leading to renegotiation of contracts by wind turbine manufacturers with sub-suppliers and in turn sub-suppliers with raw material producers,” observes Frost & Sullivan analyst Gouri Kumar. “To keep their margins intact for next year, it is essential for companies to revisit their priorities and strategies. Some of them have already started working on this and it is interesting to see what they have been doing to keep afloat, grow or adapt strategically to the tough environment.”

A number of M&A and JV transactions have been taking place in the wind industry world-wide. “GE Drivetrain Technologies formed a joint venture with Chongqing XinXing Fengneng Investment in China to produce gear boxes for the Chinese market,” continues Gouri Kumar. “This inorganic growth strategy has also been adopted by companies such as South Korean Daewoo Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering, Areva, Chinese XEMC Windpower and Hyundai Heavy Industries.”

Other wind companies are focusing on improving value proposition internally; these companies are fine tuning quality management, supplier auditing, operation and maintenance and training of technical personnel. This strategy reduces capital expenditure per wind megawatt and also accelerates their value proposition, Frost & Sullivan says.

Focusing on the bottom line

One strategy that can be expected is a greater emphasis on the bottom line by shutting down wind energy factories or cutting down on shifts in terms of working hours of labour especially in regions where new orders are expected to fall below boom levels. Recently Vestas refocused its activities and manufacturing in higher growth wind energy areas like the USA and China, and shut down factories in low growth wind energy areas like the UK and Denmark. LM Glasfiber also downsized in order to maximise its presence in higher growth wind energy areas.

Finally, there are wind energy companies like Gamesa that are taking the situation of less demand and slower growth rates as an opportunity to diversify and re-define their priorities. In order to move away from being a full scale wind energy developer and focusing more on closing stage sales, Gamesa formed a venture with Iberdrola. This brought their businesses together to develop wind farms. Using the lag in this market to refocus priorities is another successful strategy.

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